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Row
Gtrend index
Source
fuente y explicacion para bajar datos
Row
keyword1
keyword2
Row
keyword4
keyword5
Indicators
The problem
Official economic statistics are usually released with a considerable lag. For example, the consumer sentiment index, GDP, or private consumption data become available with a lag of several months. The pace at which economic conditions are currently changing, however, requires more timely economic indicators in order to monitor and forecast economic activity.
Our solution
To provide a set of timely economic indicators, we source Google Trends data. These indicators are available on a daily basis. The idea is that people’s searches on Google tell a lot about their perception of the state of the economy and demand for certain products and services.
When people become unemployed, for example, they start searching for local unemployment agencies (called “RAV” in German). When they want to buy clothes, they likely type the name of fashion stores like “H&M”, “Zara”, or “Zalando”. Changes in these searches will then tell us something about unemployment or the demand for clothing.
These indicators provide insights about the abrupt economic changes we are currently experiencing and will likely be among the first to capture changes once measures to fight the spread of Covid19 are lifted step by step. They will thus help to monitor the recovery and possibly indicate lasting changes in consumption habits.
How accurate are these indicators
To ensure that our combinations of keywords lead to meaningful results, we compare our indicators to existing measures, namely the consumer sentiment index, GDP, and private consumption components whenever this is useful. Generally, the indicators we constructed broadly coincide with existing economic time series over the past 13 years, including the recession in 2009. However, in order to provide optimal nowcasts for specific target variables, more research wouldwill be required in the future. However, note that none of our indicators is thought to be an exact replication of any existing time series.
[FIGURES WITH INDICATORS THAT WORK WELL COMPARED TO A TARGET]
For some indicators, like demand for restaurant consumption, there are no publicly available existing and well-established data series that we can use for comparison. We nNevertheless, a Google search based indicator for restaurant consumption willmay provide insights assuming that searches for restaurants reflect demand for restaurant consumption.htthese indicators maywill provide insights believe that having such an indicator is valuable, For example, as restaurants are hit directly by the government measures against the spread of SARS-CoV-2 Covid19. Assuming that searches for restaurants reflect demand for restaurant consumption, our indicator shows how demand for eating out changes compared to normal times, as restaurants are currently hit harddirectly by the government measures against the spread of SARS-CoV-2.
[FIGURES WITH INDICATORS THAT DO NOT HAVE A TARGET]
Limitations
The relationship between these search-based indicators and economic activity seems apparent. We believe that these indicators will provide useful during the whole economic rollercoaster ride that lies ahead of us, during the current downturn as well as the upswing(s) when things go slowly back to (a new?) normal. Note however, that the relationship between Google searches for specific keywords and real economic activity maymight change over time. First, preferences change over time and thus the popularity of internet platforms and consumption behavior via the internet may change over time. goodsweb-platformplatformsthe world keeps changing and things that were popular at some point are not anymore. Second, this crisis is very different to previous ones as private demand drops largely because of measures to fight Covid19 such as restaurant and cinema shop closures. Third, the crisis itself might lead to permanent changes in search behavior. For example, containment measures may lead permanently to a much larger proportion of the population to use the internet for their purchases and have it delivered at home.
Data
Time Series:
Start = 13149
End = 18359
Frequency = 1
[1] -2.273270e+00 1.324501e+00 2.162424e+00 1.913710e+00 1.662221e+00
[6] 5.598896e-01 -1.626274e+00 -6.626755e-01 4.206424e-01 -4.082700e-01
[11] -1.089292e-01 -9.925142e-01 -1.250651e+00 -1.111275e+00 -1.046282e+00
[16] -2.091824e+00 -1.131516e+00 -8.487001e-01 -8.029025e-01 -4.104013e-01
[21] -6.632692e-01 -3.225430e-01 1.867670e-02 6.112427e-01 6.801627e-01
[26] 7.851451e-01 8.303960e-01 5.108715e-01 7.288322e-01 9.206156e-01
[31] 1.041311e+00 3.878481e-01 4.406142e-01 -5.063118e-01 -1.129475e-01
[36] -3.214958e-01 -3.026529e-01 -1.499293e+00 -2.669060e+00 -8.100013e-01
[41] -3.596260e-01 -1.726057e+00 -2.147811e-01 -6.720573e-01 5.740717e-01
[46] 8.604910e-01 9.613052e-01 7.966475e-01 6.345857e-01 5.153845e-01
[51] 1.093439e+00 1.042390e+00 6.904263e-01 -9.932073e-02 1.208192e-01
[56] -2.678077e-01 2.882800e-01 3.007024e-01 -3.732254e-02 4.513445e-02
[61] 5.534737e-01 -3.064518e-02 -2.179135e+00 5.594660e-01 -8.525339e-01
[66] 1.147474e+00 -1.537698e-01 1.332631e+00 9.887173e-01 1.042503e+00
[71] -6.172909e-01 7.150400e-01 1.499932e+00 1.554943e+00 1.628349e+00
[76] 1.319277e+00 3.856368e-01 -5.373591e-01 2.697690e-01 1.727603e+00
[81] 1.570547e+00 1.345214e+00 4.623087e-01 7.049365e-01 -4.300869e-01
[86] 5.311514e-01 9.735279e-01 2.141452e-01 4.605039e-01 1.031517e+00
[91] -5.898585e-01 7.836394e-01 2.766377e-01 1.276108e+00 1.274636e-01
[96] 7.087147e-01 1.498875e+00 8.993819e-01 5.395245e-01 5.974384e-01
[101] 4.661093e-01 8.393747e-01 7.536963e-01 6.721755e-01 2.895468e-01
[106] 5.077862e-01 1.038000e+00 9.208086e-01 1.105905e+00 9.534870e-03
[111] 5.873266e-01 -2.687627e-01 5.135386e-01 3.667513e-01 8.953873e-01
[116] 8.720545e-01 5.093308e-01 -1.941330e-01 4.114224e-01 6.084153e-01
[121] 1.120940e+00 -1.821362e-01 -1.003049e+00 5.558843e-01 5.240661e-01
[126] 5.104378e-01 5.593049e-01 1.191440e-01 9.314104e-01 1.715963e-02
[131] 1.100969e-01 -9.239968e-01 -2.013575e-01 -2.220482e-01 -1.079598e+00
[136] 1.331204e-01 2.196166e-01 -6.953477e-01 -1.487339e-02 -6.987126e-01
[141] 7.419359e-01 1.450559e+00 1.699056e+00 1.303016e+00 1.588865e+00
[146] 1.375742e+00 7.195865e-01 4.365367e-01 5.012336e-01 6.995661e-01
[151] -2.674263e-02 2.339404e-01 -3.640546e-01 3.465796e-01 6.601263e-01
[156] 1.445042e+00 1.705963e+00 1.478491e+00 1.338972e+00 4.867751e-01
[161] 1.113817e+00 4.797089e-01 5.299987e-01 3.177690e-01 8.491476e-01
[166] 7.158033e-01 1.115718e+00 3.948415e-01 7.958720e-02 3.271964e-01
[171] 1.402973e+00 7.893839e-01 1.136321e+00 9.434857e-01 -3.645220e-01
[176] -4.643613e-01 1.000152e-01 -3.086192e-01 -7.305863e-01 5.292950e-01
[181] 5.041610e-01 1.765472e-01 4.504801e-01 8.067605e-01 -5.573820e-02
[186] 1.128212e+00 1.177477e+00 1.097162e+00 6.389396e-01 7.045398e-01
[191] 1.097069e+00 5.649238e-01 1.289980e-01 7.972748e-01 -2.555652e-01
[196] 6.107956e-02 5.810640e-02 2.995040e-01 2.524760e-02 1.404336e-01
[201] -1.121138e+00 7.035709e-02 -3.625999e-01 -2.200353e-01 -8.176400e-01
[206] 1.207877e-01 -7.841526e-01 3.002976e-01 -1.312452e+00 -1.438750e-01
[211] 2.001590e-02 -3.555744e-01 6.649403e-01 6.206186e-01 1.664820e-02
[216] 4.190571e-01 -1.763607e+00 4.157705e-01 2.693017e-01 -6.685507e-02
[221] 6.416173e-01 8.556385e-01 2.669071e-01 2.165400e-01 -1.517944e-01
[226] -2.736028e-01 7.107847e-01 -3.865630e-01 6.352010e-01 1.137611e-01
[231] 3.230571e-01 6.001865e-01 1.155299e+00 1.286567e+00 1.171171e+00
[236] 4.740734e-01 7.127484e-01 -2.117895e-01 7.376931e-02 -7.815404e-01
[241] -2.928221e-01 -6.913825e-01 -1.509824e+00 -1.334001e-01 -4.027795e-01
[246] 3.194964e-01 1.328201e-01 1.179508e+00 1.145191e+00 5.695367e-01
[251] 4.401831e-01 -6.241499e-02 8.672008e-02 5.071355e-01 6.720603e-01
[256] 2.417831e-01 3.583227e-01 -1.079378e+00 -1.104552e-01 4.816662e-01
[261] 1.071289e+00 6.619936e-01 8.103477e-01 -3.809961e-01 9.597746e-01
[266] 1.723313e-01 5.360624e-01 -6.507339e-01 8.079814e-01 6.146268e-01
[271] 4.302620e-01 6.393876e-01 -3.962142e-01 1.117852e-01 1.270657e-01
[276] -3.234072e-01 -2.974963e-01 4.644346e-01 4.642493e-01 2.657159e-01
[281] -1.375363e-02 4.297861e-01 5.376132e-01 -7.389302e-01 5.916614e-01
[286] -1.290025e-01 5.774745e-01 7.496994e-01 4.480459e-01 1.303842e+00
[291] 1.161335e+00 3.801683e-01 -8.905527e-02 2.683482e-01 2.141735e-01
[296] 4.022980e-01 5.870007e-06 4.063118e-01 -3.330235e-01 -1.039100e+00
[301] -1.949435e-02 -6.426623e-01 8.085068e-01 8.049765e-01 7.178514e-01
[306] 4.620534e-01 9.852437e-01 1.931782e-01 7.346041e-01 7.348330e-01
[311] 9.141176e-01 1.185516e+00 9.322468e-01 3.236660e-01 5.200134e-01
[316] 5.843837e-01 3.156866e-01 8.377271e-01 -2.652970e-01 1.007544e+00
[321] 9.862275e-01 6.415056e-01 -4.383618e-01 1.132018e+00 1.324169e+00
[326] 8.988793e-01 7.463434e-01 1.174866e+00 2.378862e-01 -2.612294e-01
[331] 7.743161e-01 5.742102e-01 6.810543e-01 -9.542157e-01 -2.485219e-01
[336] 4.434599e-01 7.150459e-01 1.286199e+00 1.299557e+00 6.212883e-01
[341] 1.046112e+00 1.240586e+00 -6.429934e-01 7.521401e-01 1.981154e-01
[346] 7.126846e-01 7.599033e-01 -4.003061e-01 5.772483e-01 3.691517e-01
[351] 5.092760e-01 -1.251506e+00 1.029953e+00 4.010841e-01 7.769472e-01
[356] 2.575407e-01 6.378016e-02 -1.222300e+00 -8.664824e-01 4.408743e-01
[361] 3.051963e-01 2.527429e-01 -3.198514e-01 -1.958615e-01 -2.978419e-01
[366] 5.368976e-01 4.080688e-01 3.208248e-01 4.819966e-01 5.313412e-01
[371] 1.763650e-01 1.557804e-01 7.772953e-01 6.125904e-01 1.010279e+00
[376] 1.016252e+00 6.950183e-01 4.404931e-01 2.592901e-02 4.912373e-01
[381] 8.330387e-01 8.796347e-01 6.392243e-01 5.706856e-01 3.718917e-01
[386] -8.233017e-01 1.033669e+00 3.653024e-01 5.756168e-01 -4.938518e-01
[391] 9.278231e-02 4.994097e-01 9.112270e-02 1.529136e-01 -4.733453e-01
[396] 3.085489e-01 7.283927e-01 8.430456e-01 4.841878e-01 3.182094e-01
[401] -3.471542e-02 1.019738e+00 1.136271e+00 2.500623e-01 8.944025e-01
[406] -2.169769e-01 7.797885e-01 1.180021e+00 9.325338e-01 1.338904e+00
[411] 1.083997e+00 1.316219e+00 6.406823e-01 1.137459e+00 5.245063e-01
[416] 6.800524e-02 5.522664e-01 2.867681e-01 4.756760e-01 9.175582e-01
[421] 1.217039e+00 8.712281e-01 2.849174e-01 1.570247e+00 1.496758e+00
[426] -5.612843e-01 9.129471e-01 9.992962e-01 4.983366e-01 6.188481e-01
[431] 6.944706e-01 1.196444e+00 1.504188e+00 1.177493e+00 1.428097e+00
[436] 1.563943e+00 1.908746e+00 1.624527e+00 2.030240e+00 1.910480e+00
[441] 6.253126e-01 5.946877e-01 1.806477e+00 1.387042e+00 1.277996e+00
[446] 1.347869e+00 6.975529e-01 6.447783e-01 1.679849e-01 -2.245297e-01
[451] 1.948707e+00 1.865799e+00 1.597633e+00 1.255166e+00 7.905890e-01
[456] 1.008729e+00 1.470698e+00 1.496686e+00 1.631408e+00 1.496317e+00
[461] 1.304560e+00 5.438486e-01 7.384929e-01 5.863719e-01 2.213825e-02
[466] 8.046227e-01 7.899919e-01 -5.205104e-01 2.021144e-01 -6.208810e-01
[471] -1.208383e-01 -7.073493e-01 6.078200e-01 1.062535e-01 -2.324059e-02
[476] -2.488965e-02 -2.104656e-01 -2.119556e-01 -3.512899e-01 1.719709e-01
[481] 7.901678e-01 3.477930e-02 -7.196776e-03 4.306966e-01 1.892393e-01
[486] 1.004797e+00 1.272600e+00 -8.245529e-01 4.881258e-01 1.647539e-01
[491] 2.140038e-01 -8.650144e-01 5.822227e-01 3.022461e-01 9.084736e-01
[496] 8.331958e-01 4.305550e-01 2.638122e-01 9.634037e-01 4.653440e-01
[501] 3.464627e-01 1.079706e+00 1.435417e-01 -5.143257e-03 5.966278e-01
[506] 8.459146e-01 1.107013e+00 1.012881e+00 -2.910493e-02 2.588801e-01
[511] 5.449253e-01 8.745326e-02 1.234557e+00 1.370798e+00 4.633753e-01
[516] 2.781955e-01 4.562345e-01 8.106309e-01 9.728018e-02 -8.677558e-01
[521] 1.979441e-01 -1.118215e-01 1.191465e+00 9.272170e-01 4.817878e-01
[526] -3.334648e-01 6.501170e-01 -1.185465e+00 7.612879e-01 -1.187173e-01
[531] 6.907632e-01 3.384356e-01 -1.786215e-01 1.136372e+00 1.320235e+00
[536] 1.074484e+00 1.331510e+00 1.305613e+00 9.218380e-01 1.142785e-01
[541] -8.523253e-01 1.640888e+00 1.263412e+00 7.718397e-01 6.576305e-01
[546] 7.287163e-01 5.077099e-01 5.556192e-01 3.290459e-01 -1.702972e+00
[551] 8.619797e-01 -4.750599e-03 3.232993e-01 2.688940e-01 6.639759e-01
[556] 3.525512e-01 9.319640e-01 4.506866e-01 8.220502e-02 3.218406e-01
[561] -4.953322e-01 3.402116e-02 9.105204e-01 -6.843726e-01 -5.156087e-01
[566] 2.291869e-01 -3.127684e-01 -5.822613e-02 6.218738e-01 -3.902400e-01
[571] 2.069678e-01 3.790510e-01 -5.255709e-02 -4.620874e-01 1.299405e-01
[576] 5.477597e-01 4.170302e-01 4.950111e-01 1.652581e-01 -1.261927e+00
[581] -7.125179e-01 1.179524e-01 2.087127e-01 3.243388e-01 5.220151e-01
[586] 1.437085e-01 -3.663049e-01 -8.664673e-01 1.645759e-01 5.000439e-01
[591] 4.030039e-01 7.911052e-01 -1.316977e+00 1.235652e-01 2.371288e-01
[596] 3.538232e-01 5.385377e-01 -3.082361e-01 2.939850e-01 -1.529326e+00
[601] 2.900527e-01 5.995192e-02 7.386510e-02 -5.229199e-01 2.305150e-01
[606] -1.335991e+00 7.046105e-01 -1.405011e-01 2.338408e-01 3.875050e-01
[611] 8.786482e-01 5.490349e-01 8.192882e-01 9.434583e-01 6.229532e-01
[616] 5.122267e-01 6.813152e-01 9.484333e-01 1.272802e+00 8.996966e-01
[621] 5.547416e-01 8.349048e-01 4.866811e-01 -8.551902e-01 8.359138e-01
[626] 7.285819e-01 -1.526024e+00 6.000536e-01 -9.974971e-01 -4.793980e-01
[631] 7.370226e-01 4.332723e-01 9.058540e-01 9.632306e-01 1.330682e+00
[636] 8.197381e-01 7.028078e-01 8.225049e-01 1.111270e+00 2.203746e-01
[641] 8.096377e-01 1.061938e+00 8.183643e-01 5.102093e-01 4.418439e-01
[646] 5.391533e-01 -1.635615e-01 4.877866e-01 7.105704e-01 8.799431e-01
[651] -1.142853e+00 -8.020408e-01 2.523025e-01 7.089341e-02 1.349161e-01
[656] 6.454744e-01 -7.892383e-01 -5.422374e-02 4.402961e-01 8.996861e-01
[661] 1.345506e-01 1.847976e-01 1.997218e-01 5.595972e-01 3.911703e-01
[666] 5.325030e-01 -8.784862e-01 -1.377687e-02 8.383072e-01 4.412599e-01
[671] 9.697335e-01 -3.765926e-01 4.858012e-01 6.287500e-01 1.158901e+00
[676] 1.064040e+00 1.760893e-01 1.747301e-01 2.385512e-01 4.676494e-01
[681] 4.602965e-01 1.098926e+00 7.347050e-01 -8.909722e-02 8.853084e-01
[686] 3.014392e-01 -7.263013e-01 4.934290e-01 9.265512e-01 1.203948e+00
[691] 1.676647e-02 7.326276e-01 7.279229e-01 8.714532e-01 8.443546e-01
[696] -1.607562e-01 5.118164e-01 8.286390e-01 3.002136e-01 6.890884e-01
[701] -4.285713e-01 8.046164e-01 9.889965e-01 6.041012e-01 -4.822444e-01
[706] 5.865202e-01 6.400495e-01 6.763863e-01 5.911766e-01 3.752746e-01
[711] 9.682077e-01 1.213439e+00 4.422711e-01 3.089522e-01 2.848187e-01
[716] 9.461285e-01 7.407417e-01 9.823808e-01 5.356070e-01 8.967655e-01
[721] 5.200499e-01 -3.946036e-01 1.229228e+00 -3.327632e-01 1.236640e+00
[726] 1.156049e+00 1.004081e+00 -5.047137e-03 -5.005490e-01 8.411739e-01
[731] 8.804668e-01 4.659318e-01 4.196834e-01 7.041867e-01 8.892692e-02
[736] 5.928393e-01 9.462460e-01 1.012514e+00 8.062670e-01 2.279483e-01
[741] 7.103806e-01 7.480671e-01 9.343120e-01 1.421426e+00 1.220732e+00
[746] 1.489905e+00 8.232899e-01 1.300042e+00 -1.946472e-01 3.399574e-02
[751] 1.547366e+00 8.948414e-01 -7.580510e-01 2.695066e-01 5.411122e-01
[756] -2.255113e-01 -7.697547e-01 5.433093e-01 -4.232478e-01 1.009658e+00
[761] 1.018770e+00 8.165040e-01 -9.854504e-01 1.562937e-01 6.195214e-01
[766] 4.393390e-01 7.509222e-01 5.027294e-01 -1.514997e+00 -1.022705e+00
[771] 7.080494e-01 1.005705e+00 1.201684e+00 8.551367e-01 1.204914e+00
[776] 7.175303e-01 5.318121e-01 5.260374e-01 2.371114e-01 1.750183e-01
[781] -1.301031e-01 4.087543e-01 -9.925157e-01 -4.405826e-01 -1.051333e+00
[786] 6.780770e-01 1.105591e+00 1.101699e+00 7.136158e-03 3.998937e-01
[791] 7.373378e-01 8.607482e-01 5.660702e-01 8.143636e-01 1.349206e+00
[796] -1.469802e-01 9.981215e-01 8.664897e-01 1.022863e+00 -2.142242e-01
[801] 3.304925e-01 1.124862e+00 9.871468e-01 6.184994e-01 1.184555e+00
[806] 5.560978e-01 1.528259e+00 -1.489480e+00 1.071977e+00 1.674879e+00
[811] 1.762910e+00 1.307776e+00 6.471323e-01 1.554687e+00 1.796958e+00
[816] 9.162902e-01 1.450870e+00 1.574493e+00 1.119635e+00 7.779231e-01
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[1671] 2.756138e-01 2.038787e-01 -2.955903e-01 -1.239611e+00 -3.800796e-01
[1676] -1.022018e-01 -1.033233e+00 -2.735076e-01 -1.072334e+00 3.949461e-01
[1681] -3.050708e-01 -1.091794e+00 -1.666901e+00 4.158419e-01 -2.564886e-01
[1686] -1.338961e+00 -8.221460e-01 3.071082e-01 -6.048361e-02 7.641937e-01
[1691] -1.417637e+00 2.279870e-01 -6.281145e-01 7.016210e-02 -3.430518e-01
[1696] -4.167969e-01 -1.114725e-01 -9.597589e-01 -1.925188e+00 -6.824676e-01
[1701] -1.037632e-02 -1.154709e+00 4.490477e-01 8.324181e-01 -1.758210e+00
[1706] -2.703153e-01 8.155866e-02 -5.562094e-01 -3.655511e-01 -7.033584e-01
[1711] -1.927941e+00 -6.588061e-01 -5.251830e-01 -4.336107e-01 -4.124529e-01
[1716] -6.399718e-01 -1.148022e+00 -8.341951e-01 -9.275641e-01 -4.047378e-01
[1721] 2.079263e-01 -2.873542e-01 4.336468e-01 -8.601712e-01 -5.391503e-01
[1726] 5.673545e-02 -3.313098e-02 5.689550e-01 -1.674546e-01 -9.492988e-01
[1731] -2.115889e-01 1.129097e-01 -2.228666e-01 2.271386e-01 -1.179753e+00
[1736] -3.856995e-01 -2.208655e-01 -1.479555e-01 -1.169188e+00 -6.592193e-01
[1741] 8.861540e-01 4.430306e-02 3.272541e-02 5.435107e-01 -2.640140e-01
[1746] 6.759001e-01 -1.999974e-01 2.286703e-01 -5.586592e-01 5.190123e-01
[1751] 5.368144e-01 3.065113e-01 2.865291e-01 -6.878175e-01 -7.816326e-01
[1756] -1.620796e+00 -8.179249e-01 -2.284981e-02 -9.762039e-02 9.724128e-01
[1761] -2.079567e+00 -2.237442e+00 7.520870e-01 3.770809e-01 2.488017e-01
[1766] -1.059130e+00 -1.102928e+00 3.805102e-01 3.360618e-01 -2.149241e-01
[1771] -2.059848e+00 -2.205993e-01 -2.755700e-02 -5.493711e-01 -1.490621e-03
[1776] -8.704503e-01 -1.025691e+00 2.792633e-01 -1.088766e+00 -8.671875e-02
[1781] 7.311639e-01 -2.492173e-01 -4.361701e-01 -1.652796e+00 -1.170003e+00
[1786] -3.531957e-01 -5.921777e-01 -9.095149e-02 -8.352408e-01 -2.248555e-01
[1791] -1.495156e+00 -1.033846e+00 -4.188405e-01 -1.757794e+00 -9.614915e-01
[1796] -1.084652e+00 2.934649e-01 -1.191931e+00 -6.496235e-01 3.951866e-01
[1801] 7.139220e-01 1.037040e+00 -2.354196e-01 -2.053405e+00 -1.131701e-02
[1806] -4.204919e-01 -8.208710e-02 9.465197e-01 4.383847e-01 -2.462638e-01
[1811] -6.036761e-02 3.533659e-01 6.673573e-01 5.490995e-01 -1.512868e+00
[1816] 6.328679e-01 -1.314545e-01 2.846547e-01 -6.913080e-01 -1.140314e+00
[1821] 2.881268e-01 3.550471e-01 -6.480880e-01 -2.814578e-01 8.476154e-01
[1826] 2.526172e-01 1.468515e-01 1.816558e-01 -5.628915e-01 -4.281143e-01
[1831] -3.825381e-01 -7.756381e-02 5.454286e-01 -2.706395e-01 -1.215654e-01
[1836] -1.614105e-02 1.207344e-01 -1.239979e+00 4.801321e-01 -1.044467e+00
[1841] -4.639822e-01 -4.259942e-01 1.423848e+00 -5.715817e-01 -1.781957e+00
[1846] -8.151891e-01 2.674561e-01 -7.718759e-01 7.332896e-01 -1.018894e+00
[1851] 6.871105e-01 1.054580e+00 -6.088631e-01 -1.822738e-01 7.612635e-01
[1856] 4.697298e-01 1.453073e-01 -6.024541e-01 1.383775e+00 4.075675e-01
[1861] 6.885836e-01 -8.943622e-01 3.793575e-01 -4.424888e-01 -6.215228e-01
[1866] 6.155590e-01 -7.002518e-01 8.365431e-01 8.459557e-01 1.008011e+00
[1871] -3.148623e-01 -3.835858e-01 1.031541e+00 9.481518e-01 3.967152e-01
[1876] -4.803910e-01 -3.178226e-01 4.864365e-01 -1.112801e+00 -5.068590e-01
[1881] 3.788956e-01 8.194212e-01 1.188287e+00 1.094068e+00 2.925738e-01
[1886] 8.814753e-02 1.163773e+00 7.384780e-01 3.966192e-01 3.097916e-01
[1891] 1.809291e-01 7.180151e-01 1.211364e+00 3.172809e-01 7.219602e-01
[1896] -8.879192e-01 -8.286790e-03 1.080674e-01 -2.027099e-01 2.066868e+00
[1901] 1.430793e+00 9.222648e-01 4.010652e-01 6.035566e-01 1.272393e+00
[1906] 9.703507e-01 1.586476e+00 1.421227e+00 2.561770e-01 5.895440e-01
[1911] 4.359113e-01 6.346425e-01 1.150387e+00 3.746553e-01 2.206982e-01
[1916] 8.479645e-01 -1.297682e-01 1.302324e+00 1.501573e+00 2.546035e-01
[1921] 9.020017e-01 7.522935e-01 9.636497e-01 -1.085750e+00 -1.142402e+00
[1926] -9.292436e-02 3.698514e-01 3.375113e-01 -2.192236e-01 -5.858141e-01
[1931] -7.365064e-01 -2.588812e-02 2.750764e-02 3.761876e-01 6.784194e-01
[1936] 1.033922e+00 3.379681e-01 1.191267e+00 7.430478e-01 6.512429e-01
[1941] 3.765608e-01 -1.730762e+00 6.780803e-01 -5.329785e-01 1.523496e-01
[1946] -1.251605e+00 -6.181533e-01 -4.059808e-01 -5.615727e-01 8.182620e-02
[1951] -1.526292e-01 3.493354e-01 6.197190e-01 6.027050e-01 -1.265271e+00
[1956] -5.621280e-01 -5.442502e-01 1.454789e+00 -1.430684e-01 -1.054569e+00
[1961] -5.351049e-02 3.413121e-01 -3.257938e-01 -6.863610e-02 -1.681081e-01
[1966] -2.254355e-01 6.158314e-01 6.480086e-01 1.042062e-01 -6.695726e-01
[1971] 6.352241e-01 -8.350042e-01 4.708953e-01 3.220796e-01 9.641456e-01
[1976] 9.166015e-01 1.694290e-01 7.520944e-01 1.120835e+00 -4.464439e-01
[1981] 6.192448e-01 2.797951e-01 3.167747e-01 -5.793066e-01 4.522814e-01
[1986] -2.287195e-01 3.916986e-01 -1.891230e-01 -3.822831e-01 6.269043e-01
[1991] 1.162134e+00 -4.134245e-01 -6.160224e-01 3.690593e-01 8.641734e-01
[1996] -2.937688e-01 1.546792e-01 4.314123e-01 -9.472822e-01 -9.767618e-01
[2001] -1.031619e+00 -3.307370e-01 6.771529e-01 -9.875623e-02 3.239594e-01
[2006] -6.597974e-01 5.437355e-01 -4.784406e-01 6.975787e-01 7.588996e-01
[2011] -7.625763e-01 4.598324e-01 1.233870e-01 -2.199601e-01 1.910063e-01
[2016] 4.852366e-01 5.052500e-01 1.722706e-01 -1.908597e-01 8.351911e-01
[2021] -2.445385e-01 -7.468429e-01 -1.247222e+00 -1.713800e-01 1.272111e-01
[2026] -7.462562e-01 -6.338849e-01 4.044381e-01 -3.529036e-03 -1.016210e-01
[2031] -4.716359e-02 1.322243e-01 7.286681e-02 -8.397670e-01 4.304802e-01
[2036] 2.908729e-01 4.087064e-01 4.902349e-02 1.440707e-01 5.012632e-01
[2041] -1.359265e+00 6.678114e-01 8.929410e-02 -5.138265e-01 -1.348130e+00
[2046] -5.378250e-01 5.455134e-01 -7.545538e-01 -1.951761e-01 1.465699e-01
[2051] 1.999120e-01 9.570212e-01 8.377702e-01 7.026917e-02 1.185686e+00
[2056] -3.401421e-01 1.975636e-01 1.095212e+00 2.120459e-01 3.846102e-01
[2061] -3.118348e-01 -7.904541e-01 1.591866e-01 6.512454e-01 9.408305e-01
[2066] -1.104095e-01 4.022196e-01 6.891144e-01 9.579115e-01 -1.352070e+00
[2071] -1.105976e+00 -1.071588e+00 4.199525e-01 7.061427e-01 -2.162191e-01
[2076] -1.128051e+00 -8.242035e-01 1.201819e+00 3.354505e-01 -1.222773e-01
[2081] -6.861930e-01 -4.311467e-01 -1.343149e-01 -8.664371e-02 -5.228605e-01
[2086] -4.481722e-02 8.104578e-01 -4.688912e-01 -6.504264e-01 -9.943370e-01
[2091] -1.775855e+00 2.500371e-01 -1.445262e+00 -4.324686e-01 -2.710265e-01
[2096] 5.058491e-01 -1.102878e+00 7.234179e-01 6.626517e-02 2.108583e-01
[2101] -2.229603e-01 -2.612363e-01 1.901746e-01 -9.220924e-01 1.435224e-01
[2106] 1.820361e-01 8.672530e-01 3.452698e-03 -1.331686e+00 6.571833e-01
[2111] 1.573471e-01 -1.486229e-01 7.631653e-01 -1.445591e+00 1.111595e+00
[2116] -6.075223e-02 4.088492e-01 6.332898e-01 8.029725e-02 -5.296460e-01
[2121] 9.443969e-01 6.142459e-01 2.919765e-01 -2.104773e+00 1.867847e-01
[2126] -6.546662e-02 1.472647e+00 -1.452648e+00 3.517374e-01 -9.052750e-02
[2131] 2.778768e-01 3.550393e-02 -1.607505e+00 -5.004224e-02 -6.495198e-01
[2136] -3.643981e-01 -6.548133e-01 -5.060654e-01 1.096560e+00 -3.298595e-01
[2141] -3.957601e-01 -6.561365e-01 3.634557e-01 -7.797957e-01 -1.543063e+00
[2146] -8.241336e-01 -7.969508e-01 -1.265035e+00 4.039922e-01 -8.108697e-01
[2151] 3.945006e-01 -5.468085e-02 9.643789e-01 -8.982185e-01 -1.530064e+00
[2156] -1.683481e+00 -1.926741e+00 -2.764507e-01 -9.217741e-01 8.836429e-02
[2161] -2.302934e+00 -2.453568e-01 -3.953935e-01 8.786073e-02 -4.111764e-01
[2166] -2.822250e-01 2.886367e-01 5.634140e-01 -1.288969e+00 -3.218980e-01
[2171] -1.799146e-01 1.056153e+00 -5.769689e-01 -1.000272e-01 -5.661169e-01
[2176] -7.389894e-01 6.183400e-01 2.799400e-01 -3.336419e-01 6.709305e-01
[2181] -4.609357e-01 2.881283e-01 -6.881418e-01 3.720422e-01 6.961256e-02
[2186] 6.834689e-02 -9.337700e-01 -8.524152e-02 -6.293441e-01 -1.010198e+00
[2191] -2.578042e-01 -5.006059e-01 -3.897649e-01 2.891696e-01 -9.483806e-01
[2196] -5.901348e-01 -1.722546e+00 -4.736395e-01 -4.319544e-02 -6.776207e-01
[2201] -1.730678e+00 -5.135421e-01 -1.482395e+00 -9.969331e-01 -6.869294e-01
[2206] -1.755772e+00 -3.143808e-01 7.875843e-01 -3.970667e-01 -8.897120e-01
[2211] -1.020596e+00 -4.515192e-01 1.291125e-01 -5.824480e-01 -1.993377e+00
[2216] -5.496627e-01 3.513318e-01 7.818131e-01 4.270531e-02 -4.054824e-01
[2221] -1.031351e+00 -1.585779e-01 3.433726e-01 -7.705491e-01 -2.135104e-01
[2226] 9.320778e-02 -1.549136e-01 4.490951e-01 -4.315571e-02 2.825124e-01
[2231] -1.142082e+00 -1.064046e+00 6.246509e-01 5.665879e-01 -7.519275e-01
[2236] -2.205767e-01 -3.772538e-01 -4.451270e-01 2.817812e-01 -2.067567e+00
[2241] 2.434862e-01 -1.947616e-01 1.079311e+00 2.616835e-01 -2.075013e-01
[2246] -7.545295e-02 -3.240257e-02 6.930209e-01 1.186558e+00 -5.571289e-01
[2251] 9.528235e-01 -6.852945e-01 -5.275409e-01 -6.280888e-01 -6.091969e-01
[2256] -5.558155e-01 7.576346e-01 2.046599e-01 6.363115e-01 1.710386e-01
[2261] 1.617932e-01 2.234916e-01 9.122854e-01 8.183632e-01 -2.192211e-01
[2266] 1.194387e+00 6.139464e-01 1.107769e+00 2.077570e-01 3.134730e-01
[2271] 6.909593e-01 7.153732e-01 1.587245e-01 -2.661475e-01 7.334123e-01
[2276] 9.923129e-01 -5.713956e-01 1.427545e+00 9.648308e-01 5.035812e-01
[2281] -1.735980e-01 4.599806e-01 -9.215787e-01 8.707385e-01 6.081811e-01
[2286] 2.808511e-02 2.424107e-01 2.640393e-02 3.714689e-01 -5.769778e-01
[2291] 1.292837e+00 4.449500e-01 3.273920e-02 3.771590e-01 -1.657609e-01
[2296] -1.059418e+00 -3.922890e-01 -3.851630e-02 6.981927e-01 -2.412309e-01
[2301] 1.045460e+00 1.131486e+00 -1.602474e-01 8.642824e-01 2.412059e-01
[2306] -1.213607e+00 -4.272182e-01 -1.111700e+00 1.377079e-01 -4.461060e-01
[2311] -2.640431e-01 1.229186e+00 -3.649525e-02 6.688151e-01 -9.558886e-02
[2316] -7.138559e-01 -4.385369e-01 -1.640704e-01 -4.111580e-01 -8.867037e-01
[2321] -2.258841e-01 -1.173023e+00 5.621366e-01 2.606350e-01 -9.214570e-01
[2326] 1.442223e-01 -1.094475e+00 1.293909e-02 8.259068e-01 -1.138277e-02
[2331] -3.842908e-01 -1.115532e+00 -1.219328e+00 -2.126431e-01 1.586859e-01
[2336] -1.133765e+00 3.661462e-01 5.408561e-01 1.799138e-01 5.270317e-01
[2341] -1.413758e+00 2.732407e-01 -2.432362e-01 -3.588010e-01 3.501853e-01
[2346] -6.670273e-01 -4.410670e-01 -2.520319e+00 6.950223e-01 -1.888022e-01
[2351] 1.251079e+00 -4.050434e-01 4.716796e-01 -6.240396e-01 -5.114790e-01
[2356] -1.633663e-01 -1.343700e+00 -5.393859e-01 -1.040611e+00 -9.570305e-01
[2361] 4.939007e-01 6.945497e-01 1.041980e+00 -9.804050e-01 -4.448454e-01
[2366] -1.345539e-01 -1.666358e+00 2.448212e-01 -1.203069e+00 7.790417e-01
[2371] -4.041948e-01 -5.114043e-01 6.355359e-01 -6.029246e-01 -1.114199e+00
[2376] -2.817596e-01 -4.629964e-01 -7.472360e-01 4.908340e-01 4.129815e-02
[2381] 2.289393e-01 -1.341531e+00 7.330096e-02 -1.135991e+00 2.660387e-01
[2386] -2.359944e-01 -4.791948e-01 3.050794e-01 4.580941e-01 -3.010202e-01
[2391] -1.527227e-01 2.134836e-01 1.038106e+00 2.301654e-01 -4.414223e-01
[2396] 9.528357e-02 -1.024504e+00 6.691403e-01 -1.149546e-01 4.514656e-03
[2401] 6.210254e-01 2.094474e-01 -3.683529e-01 1.745093e-01 -1.629876e-01
[2406] -7.207884e-01 6.603784e-01 -1.410045e-01 -2.309953e-01 4.370184e-01
[2411] 1.238350e-01 -2.574175e+00 3.670472e-01 -6.569878e-01 1.052010e+00
[2416] 3.823209e-01 -2.780483e-01 2.693365e-01 5.188093e-01 4.294822e-02
[2421] 1.725669e-01 -2.465951e-01 -3.633036e-01 4.129329e-01 -1.161506e+00
[2426] -8.616485e-01 1.091531e-01 -5.523927e-01 8.731161e-02 -1.109144e+00
[2431] -7.643112e-01 -1.227142e-01 -1.486222e-01 1.225381e+00 -1.488338e+00
[2436] 1.318185e-01 6.039081e-01 -3.681134e-01 4.201209e-01 -1.424610e+00
[2441] -7.611342e-01 -4.667602e-01 7.318842e-01 3.789540e-01 -2.290473e-01
[2446] 6.641338e-01 6.774397e-01 -9.215193e-01 -6.819087e-01 -2.501815e-01
[2451] 4.716951e-01 5.804221e-02 -4.457609e-01 2.097908e-01 9.425618e-01
[2456] -7.138697e-01 -3.448768e-01 8.585021e-01 -6.452399e-01 -2.801225e-01
[2461] -3.403045e-01 -8.055397e-01 -3.095777e-02 -3.439076e-01 -5.206210e-01
[2466] 4.015147e-01 -5.544457e-01 1.700140e-01 3.815882e-01 -4.191210e-01
[2471] -5.446295e-02 9.183176e-01 -6.091015e-01 9.601538e-02 5.331703e-01
[2476] 9.701590e-01 -5.210318e-01 -2.548937e-01 1.252638e+00 1.593745e-02
[2481] 7.602244e-01 6.788922e-02 1.916280e-01 5.524013e-02 -6.263777e-01
[2486] 8.105893e-01 -1.922770e+00 -1.930421e+00 -1.204599e+00 -1.092607e+00
[2491] -1.173952e+00 2.106500e-01 -1.380840e+00 -7.759482e-01 -8.227121e-01
[2496] 8.018969e-01 1.830759e-01 -6.778805e-01 2.693378e-01 -5.866460e-01
[2501] -1.419972e+00 1.265307e-01 8.749976e-02 1.070886e+00 -1.059699e+00
[2506] -1.479067e-01 6.807646e-03 9.636486e-02 -8.219481e-01 -8.234764e-01
[2511] -1.287195e+00 -3.469462e-01 3.556488e-01 -1.007124e+00 -1.562084e+00
[2516] -7.204643e-01 2.179324e-01 -1.038416e+00 2.184363e-01 -4.865686e-01
[2521] -6.467255e-01 4.788117e-01 -1.101023e+00 -2.764253e-01 -1.180950e+00
[2526] -8.284421e-02 3.675579e-01 -4.539878e-01 -5.528635e-01 1.428886e-02
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[4326] 1.651037e-01 -3.857226e-01 9.279948e-01 7.419059e-01 1.562116e+00
[4331] 9.901191e-01 9.355305e-01 2.429603e-01 6.111569e-01 -5.423438e-01
[4336] 1.095673e+00 8.175476e-01 1.275073e+00 8.149404e-01 7.176617e-01
[4341] 9.064985e-01 1.332083e+00 -7.539166e-01 1.300321e+00 9.435450e-01
[4346] -3.133297e-01 7.334854e-01 1.108325e+00 1.424199e+00 3.172924e-01
[4351] 4.305205e-01 1.435256e+00 8.988087e-01 5.748452e-01 8.573492e-01
[4356] -3.866081e-02 1.510652e+00 7.109587e-01 9.837767e-01 7.787233e-01
[4361] -2.025203e+00 9.460825e-01 1.096518e+00 4.432165e-01 1.108263e+00
[4366] 1.626121e+00 2.308439e-01 1.684563e-01 1.031671e+00 1.418343e-01
[4371] 3.373827e-01 7.781098e-01 2.644132e-01 -2.118665e-01 3.282361e-01
[4376] 2.690041e-01 1.111318e+00 7.528541e-01 3.558779e-01 1.022306e-01
[4381] -3.185491e-01 4.059408e-01 8.331755e-01 -2.906365e-02 1.828833e-01
[4386] -5.349592e-01 -8.142234e-02 5.455665e-01 -5.633246e-02 1.305608e+00
[4391] -2.665588e-01 1.043718e+00 9.458477e-01 2.535048e-01 8.763768e-01
[4396] 9.275534e-02 5.868727e-01 9.209633e-01 9.349153e-01 4.702076e-01
[4401] 2.440854e-02 1.015869e+00 7.770942e-01 1.171450e+00 6.298332e-01
[4406] 1.302982e+00 5.899168e-01 1.000895e+00 1.139143e+00 2.670736e-01
[4411] 2.050465e-02 1.411694e+00 9.183575e-01 1.626613e+00 1.697678e+00
[4416] 7.618488e-01 7.125587e-01 -3.891813e-02 4.996400e-01 1.421769e+00
[4421] 7.932142e-01 4.535428e-02 -3.448075e-02 1.083358e+00 -1.779520e-01
[4426] 1.918343e+00 2.880358e-01 1.843689e+00 1.086794e-01 1.008525e-01
[4431] 1.896580e+00 1.847462e+00 2.645757e-01 1.792484e+00 1.365087e+00
[4436] 1.636394e-01 1.622339e+00 1.015490e+00 1.309670e+00 5.627810e-01
[4441] 1.357809e+00 1.010381e+00 -3.087903e-01 2.232692e-01 1.427629e+00
[4446] 1.298954e+00 1.398935e+00 1.073911e+00 1.848291e+00 -1.013313e-04
[4451] 1.495246e+00 1.182686e+00 1.211957e+00 7.839862e-01 1.329110e+00
[4456] 1.250746e+00 -4.847786e-01 9.446239e-01 1.406059e+00 7.989523e-01
[4461] 7.269169e-01 1.810580e+00 4.816021e-01 9.104098e-01 1.700592e+00
[4466] 1.186253e+00 1.686681e+00 1.202555e+00 1.156752e+00 -3.922690e-01
[4471] 1.558328e+00 1.925719e+00 9.701317e-01 6.589576e-01 -2.077321e-01
[4476] 4.337569e-01 9.386186e-01 1.373047e+00 1.256696e+00 6.661941e-01
[4481] -3.257236e-01 1.408219e+00 1.671043e+00 2.388243e+00 1.364843e+00
[4486] 1.889857e+00 7.074049e-01 5.466058e-01 1.334759e+00 -5.471485e-01
[4491] 8.927767e-01 1.060332e+00 1.417515e-01 4.030398e-01 1.161585e-01
[4496] 7.812529e-01 5.580041e-01 1.182275e+00 7.548338e-01 1.783013e+00
[4501] 1.709974e+00 1.149320e+00 1.552091e+00 2.804283e-01 1.376487e+00
[4506] 2.952308e-01 1.443972e+00 1.003748e+00 5.617670e-01 1.275838e+00
[4511] 1.156593e+00 3.267046e-01 1.235597e+00 1.005803e+00 6.075083e-01
[4516] -3.864806e-01 1.615513e+00 1.235367e+00 1.497935e+00 6.038164e-01
[4521] 1.400922e-01 -6.455423e-01 1.200727e+00 1.280103e+00 3.207166e-01
[4526] 4.053240e-01 1.267516e+00 1.346655e+00 5.522054e-01 1.198972e-01
[4531] 1.609870e+00 1.978262e-02 -6.778528e-01 2.929564e-01 4.366838e-01
[4536] 1.401191e+00 5.065481e-02 6.780276e-01 -5.240993e-01 5.891177e-01
[4541] 4.879094e-01 1.231149e+00 -7.563300e-01 1.298595e+00 7.342074e-01
[4546] 1.880531e+00 1.935957e+00 1.416577e+00 4.163021e-01 1.873410e-01
[4551] -9.259775e-01 -6.297329e-03 1.413546e+00 4.658746e-01 3.710653e-01
[4556] 7.725290e-01 -2.401102e-02 1.351380e+00 1.665586e+00 6.797103e-03
[4561] 1.184904e+00 3.738183e-01 1.044739e+00 9.069185e-01 1.397705e+00
[4566] 2.837881e-01 1.334990e+00 6.401081e-01 1.093947e-01 8.749699e-01
[4571] 8.577114e-01 4.186927e-01 1.186901e+00 1.178038e+00 1.269716e+00
[4576] 7.041885e-01 8.536703e-01 1.180119e+00 6.870892e-01 1.565274e+00
[4581] 1.199412e+00 5.617039e-01 1.110385e-02 2.716384e-01 6.929436e-01
[4586] 1.458862e+00 1.045293e+00 4.120903e-01 1.660587e+00 9.762779e-01
[4591] 1.485022e+00 1.228464e+00 1.118815e-01 1.234284e+00 -1.305322e+00
[4596] -2.497865e-02 1.434162e+00 4.161820e-01 1.168066e+00 1.451511e+00
[4601] 1.095302e-01 1.687016e+00 1.198689e-01 1.879296e+00 -9.664682e-01
[4606] 9.887396e-01 1.896177e-01 1.287434e+00 1.272635e+00 1.121007e+00
[4611] 6.070100e-01 9.675047e-01 -1.514467e+00 1.426874e-01 -2.906784e-01
[4616] 1.467460e+00 5.340326e-01 7.790631e-01 3.555209e-01 8.054369e-01
[4621] 6.889806e-01 4.290816e-01 1.189602e+00 9.339108e-01 6.394445e-01
[4626] 4.721775e-01 4.711532e-01 5.401457e-01 1.300614e+00 -9.940988e-02
[4631] -4.593567e-01 3.277297e-01 -1.002681e+00 1.175051e+00 1.370749e+00
[4636] 9.230460e-01 6.152127e-01 2.116603e-01 9.477473e-01 3.159092e-01
[4641] 5.014751e-01 1.392890e+00 1.364075e-01 1.432921e+00 8.158346e-01
[4646] 1.017754e+00 3.845730e-01 1.433768e+00 1.306319e-01 -1.853365e-01
[4651] 2.750600e-01 7.341504e-02 7.830648e-01 -6.331850e-01 1.260031e+00
[4656] -1.600351e+00 1.702507e-01 2.756452e-01 8.711732e-01 8.048083e-01
[4661] 1.014892e+00 9.555224e-01 8.505024e-01 1.430384e+00 1.045708e+00
[4666] -1.409227e+00 7.952691e-01 -1.243521e-02 1.249970e+00 1.592916e+00
[4671] 4.181541e-01 3.480237e-01 1.253386e+00 8.851489e-01 1.694219e+00
[4676] 1.194366e+00 -1.476561e+00 6.143078e-01 1.065243e+00 -8.313048e-01
[4681] 4.997763e-01 1.603494e+00 7.624400e-01 1.438755e+00 1.921490e+00
[4686] 1.229397e+00 1.759338e+00 1.913538e+00 7.995605e-01 2.761520e-01
[4691] -1.355588e-01 4.630894e-01 1.594630e+00 1.930324e+00 6.579884e-01
[4696] 8.890391e-01 1.229877e+00 6.711168e-01 1.056967e+00 4.871684e-01
[4701] 4.246797e-01 -7.688210e-02 2.259817e-01 3.059339e-01 7.784849e-01
[4706] 5.612332e-01 1.086160e+00 1.672643e+00 4.151005e-01 -2.242320e-01
[4711] -1.891674e-01 1.444384e+00 -7.339877e-01 1.260726e+00 4.074276e-01
[4716] -1.686307e-01 1.717233e+00 9.041765e-01 6.653922e-01 3.313334e-01
[4721] 1.289366e+00 -3.087602e-01 6.982956e-01 1.482661e+00 9.911401e-01
[4726] 1.263982e+00 9.606284e-01 3.551073e-01 -2.615079e-01 3.257360e-01
[4731] 8.714790e-01 4.592624e-01 9.486910e-01 6.238854e-01 -4.080336e-02
[4736] -2.646412e-01 5.559200e-01 3.438883e-01 -3.054692e-01 9.401128e-01
[4741] 1.448361e+00 1.688912e+00 1.611317e+00 1.306258e+00 6.215830e-01
[4746] 6.824437e-01 8.589739e-01 8.442717e-01 1.414383e+00 5.422523e-01
[4751] 4.505395e-01 -1.768579e-02 5.245111e-01 6.217414e-01 4.146251e-01
[4756] -4.491890e-01 3.711704e-01 6.532117e-02 9.273684e-01 1.431454e+00
[4761] 4.054981e-01 -1.782513e-01 1.959186e+00 1.345542e+00 1.139091e+00
[4766] 3.860453e-01 1.440006e+00 -5.544023e-02 7.500043e-01 1.130691e+00
[4771] 1.824840e+00 1.140112e+00 5.971526e-01 5.639072e-01 7.725245e-01
[4776] 2.009623e+00 5.768733e-01 1.679851e+00 1.134626e-01 1.127699e+00
[4781] -5.651112e-01 1.719449e+00 5.266912e-01 -1.544878e-01 -3.099810e-01
[4786] -2.538333e-01 8.674372e-01 5.779253e-01 1.245130e+00 1.456530e+00
[4791] 7.012742e-01 2.504728e-01 4.155967e-01 1.295588e+00 1.040920e+00
[4796] -4.232994e-02 -7.422713e-01 1.036859e+00 -4.752109e-01 1.639472e+00
[4801] 7.647438e-01 9.206780e-01 1.580823e+00 3.831007e-01 1.491682e+00
[4806] 5.668740e-01 1.362006e+00 2.411810e-01 1.138947e-01 1.321903e+00
[4811] 1.287059e+00 8.139416e-01 6.725526e-01 6.777929e-01 1.036908e+00
[4816] 5.351846e-01 -3.957156e-01 5.075165e-01 1.931156e+00 3.610790e-01
[4821] 9.856833e-01 2.530487e+00 1.505851e+00 6.742943e-01 1.516107e+00
[4826] 1.436831e+00 2.485941e+00 1.812475e+00 1.457063e+00 1.423366e+00
[4831] 1.625727e+00 -3.630825e-02 1.472075e+00 8.005862e-01 1.532267e-01
[4836] 2.226342e+00 1.741715e+00 9.260664e-01 1.032091e+00 4.908171e-01
[4841] 1.203338e+00 1.742694e+00 1.286640e+00 4.066963e-01 1.529265e+00
[4846] 7.707104e-01 1.256642e+00 1.061905e+00 1.082602e+00 -8.837513e-01
[4851] 1.134365e+00 -4.074104e-01 -6.043984e-01 5.942462e-01 -2.891792e-01
[4856] 1.138494e+00 1.312328e+00 1.366875e+00 9.825880e-01 1.118921e+00
[4861] 4.886789e-01 5.464406e-01 4.923233e-01 1.353575e+00 1.205238e+00
[4866] 1.183884e+00 1.636089e+00 6.115683e-01 -4.071975e-02 1.217628e+00
[4871] 1.255585e+00 1.046013e+00 1.287239e+00 2.593432e-01 -3.246636e-01
[4876] 8.098262e-01 5.193663e-01 9.080265e-01 9.711887e-01 1.381493e+00
[4881] 1.140780e+00 7.684628e-01 -1.552077e-01 6.999246e-01 1.379498e+00
[4886] -2.694162e-01 1.476667e+00 1.549085e+00 1.162975e+00 6.008551e-01
[4891] 8.347856e-01 -3.764649e-01 5.403124e-01 7.038559e-01 -5.847681e-01
[4896] 1.054760e+00 -9.649140e-02 1.105211e+00 1.333082e+00 -3.145198e-01
[4901] 1.107650e+00 1.576676e+00 -4.764290e-01 4.131328e-01 8.627025e-02
[4906] 1.668664e+00 1.234476e+00 4.533202e-01 1.356968e+00 8.005520e-01
[4911] 1.052049e+00 9.667425e-01 1.176697e+00 7.978657e-01 -1.394311e-01
[4916] 1.300412e+00 1.024932e+00 1.566030e+00 -5.329395e-01 1.119990e+00
[4921] -4.220141e-01 1.446309e+00 4.676816e-01 1.242628e+00 4.755625e-01
[4926] -5.156058e-01 6.173295e-01 6.399417e-01 -9.780742e-01 6.021522e-01
[4931] 1.413631e+00 1.417253e+00 5.591727e-01 1.443184e-01 1.460312e-02
[4936] 9.489012e-01 1.106743e+00 5.651187e-01 1.142883e-01 -1.500703e-01
[4941] -1.909773e-01 4.569078e-01 -8.451797e-02 8.502449e-01 5.549949e-01
[4946] 7.657452e-01 1.296948e+00 4.053098e-01 -2.118030e-01 4.860241e-01
[4951] 4.735665e-01 9.974503e-01 -5.059858e-01 4.555725e-01 6.289443e-01
[4956] -4.724788e-01 5.450475e-01 6.777780e-01 1.324407e+00 -5.920742e-02
[4961] 7.109129e-01 1.433637e+00 5.208074e-01 5.960060e-01 3.775349e-02
[4966] 7.937257e-01 9.263317e-01 7.341475e-01 1.058838e+00 1.264170e+00
[4971] 4.021575e-01 1.229327e+00 -1.290696e+00 3.699076e-01 -7.205759e-02
[4976] 1.121132e+00 1.583717e+00 -1.106894e+00 8.551433e-01 -6.825027e-02
[4981] 5.112409e-01 1.754587e+00 2.066022e+00 7.255720e-01 8.679476e-01
[4986] 2.315014e-01 -8.124641e-01 1.233193e+00 -2.086124e-01 -2.035316e-01
[4991] -2.614265e-01 6.553531e-01 2.561015e-01 4.803941e-01 9.553903e-01
[4996] -3.888757e-01 9.232146e-01 3.296709e-01 7.299268e-01 6.004497e-02
[5001] 5.684113e-01 1.402846e+00 6.519813e-01 8.033783e-01 5.159137e-01
[5006] 4.177882e-01 8.423678e-02 1.160247e-01 5.241775e-01 6.571756e-01
[5011] 6.848721e-01 2.977558e-01 -1.483452e+00 -2.005035e+00 -1.557542e+00
[5016] -1.103927e+00 -9.772602e-01 -2.913919e-01 -8.712941e-01 -2.989076e-01
[5021] -4.686594e-01 -2.569121e-01 4.575798e-01 7.158965e-01 7.853264e-01
[5026] 3.151235e-01 5.277276e-01 1.674721e-01 1.143594e-01 -2.442450e-01
[5031] 7.251667e-01 7.321201e-01 5.125931e-01 4.592688e-01 4.036261e-01
[5036] 6.725071e-01 -7.881168e-01 9.047966e-01 7.594359e-01 6.737544e-01
[5041] 9.688914e-01 -4.910192e-01 6.878816e-01 1.178620e+00 2.350625e-01
[5046] 2.079597e-01 -3.021081e-03 3.477873e-01 -9.214756e-02 3.698582e-01
[5051] 1.197137e+00 7.164266e-01 8.560092e-01 -6.415110e-01 1.140022e+00
[5056] 1.383529e+00 7.858300e-01 3.462820e-01 1.260583e-01 5.992395e-01
[5061] 4.358358e-01 6.665251e-02 8.322995e-01 1.327251e+00 9.175184e-01
[5066] 5.092705e-01 1.142660e+00 -3.705968e-01 1.137665e+00 1.368834e+00
[5071] 1.404307e-01 5.342270e-01 8.918201e-02 8.960879e-01 1.239928e+00
[5076] 8.097581e-01 1.267547e+00 1.339846e+00 -4.999607e-01 1.377555e+00
[5081] -6.388225e-01 -2.620191e-01 8.296530e-01 1.110880e+00 2.142054e-01
[5086] 7.694803e-01 1.167467e+00 9.594651e-01 1.304510e+00 1.644997e+00
[5091] 1.073358e+00 3.100591e-01 2.900596e-01 4.386961e-01 5.123743e-01
[5096] 8.426238e-01 8.676404e-01 6.276810e-01 -9.774582e-02 8.769667e-01
[5101] 1.128998e+00 -2.907586e-01 4.595650e-01 2.706659e-01 7.627590e-01
[5106] 1.207347e+00 2.052256e-01 1.050637e+00 8.426629e-01 -8.672437e-02
[5111] 3.821652e-02 7.317884e-01 1.110254e+00 -6.201373e-02 -1.024300e+00
[5116] 6.393466e-01 4.518074e-01 -6.013683e-01 7.280172e-01 1.247139e+00
[5121] -9.274275e-02 1.100072e+00 8.606435e-01 6.492632e-01 8.719367e-01
[5126] 3.237160e-01 8.279995e-01 2.159309e-01 1.019722e+00 3.691295e-01
[5131] 8.404996e-01 4.375428e-01 8.903104e-01 1.472523e+00 1.367526e+00
[5136] 1.107528e-01 -8.441478e-01 1.227409e+00 5.833132e-01 3.395581e-01
[5141] 1.549610e+00 1.743608e+00 1.271096e+00 1.205601e+00 9.491025e-01
[5146] 4.664550e-01 3.860338e-01 9.322344e-01 6.674212e-01 1.087633e+00
[5151] 5.309392e-01 1.035859e+00 7.695670e-01 8.761006e-01 6.165141e-01
[5156] 6.796707e-01 -1.624135e-01 1.367779e+00 6.732658e-01 8.550314e-01
[5161] 9.712334e-01 7.649151e-01 1.386926e+00 1.197729e+00 4.066887e-01
[5166] 2.650508e-01 8.901342e-01 5.656375e-01 -1.296567e-01 3.038568e-01
[5171] 4.356273e-01 -6.210173e-01 -8.806664e-01 -5.647770e-01 -8.184593e-02
[5176] 9.267760e-02 -6.437218e-01 -9.941517e-01 -2.121899e-01 -9.088463e-01
[5181] -6.087811e-01 -1.681963e+00 -1.418285e+00 -2.536791e+00 -2.135624e+00
[5186] -4.977291e+00 -3.338849e+00 -4.285570e+00 -5.565284e+00 -6.454774e+00
[5191] -5.912279e+00 -5.557406e+00 -4.312687e+00 -4.621607e+00 -4.303244e+00
[5196] -5.464546e+00 -5.205632e+00 -5.442633e+00 -4.453148e+00 -5.145228e+00
[5201] -4.745849e+00 -4.378606e+00 -4.522645e+00 -4.760326e+00 -5.550725e+00
[5206] -4.611802e+00 -2.952079e+00 -3.768761e+00 -3.808010e+00 -3.026801e+00
[5211] -3.523634e+00Method
We use Google Trends to provide a complementary tool: Fast, cheap, and agile tracking of consumer confidence
- Consumer confidence is established as a key driver of economic activity.
- Like in other countries, there is an index available for Switzerland.
- However, this is expensive (surveys) and only available quarterly.
Project Contribution and Target Groups
Our contribution in detail:
Open-source R code to extract data from Google Trends.
Free and flexible illustration of data.
Target groups:
State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO)
Businesses
Consumer Confidence - Idea and Definition
Generally, consumer confidence is high when the unemployment rate is low and GDP growth is high. Measures of average consumer confidence can be useful indicators of how much consumers are likely to spend.
There is no unified definition of consumer confidence.
Instead, there are various indicators built to measure consumer confidence. Their definitions vary.
We have a positive list and a negative list — what people search for during good and bad times:
Positive items include:
Negative items include: RAV, Rezession, Insolvenz